TPQ Covers the Pivotal Greek Cypriot Elections
Georgios Stavri and Ljijana Jakovlevic, Director of the Euro-Mediterranean Institute of Geopolitics in Nicosia and political psychologist, respectively, recently published two blog posts on the May 22nd Cyprus elections. In the first blog piece, titled "The 22 May 2016 Parliamentary Elections in Cyprus: The Most Disparate Political Picture in Years!" Stavri and Jakovlevic illustrate the political atmosphere leading up to the Parliamentary elections in Cyprus. While elections in Cyprus have historically garnered high voter turnout, the authors observe that the dangerously high level of discontent among the public, and disillusionment with the Cypriot political class will impact voting patterns. They argue that a crippling economy coupled by political scandals revolving the two biggest parties – right wing Democratic Rally (DISY) and communist AKEL – have shifted popular support from the two main parties to a number of smaller ones..
"A mini revolution has – at first quietly and now more loudly – been taking place among voters, with large numbers appearing to be shifting from the two biggest parties to the smaller opposition parties. This trend is tipping the balance of the big parties' total vote from a staggering near 70 percent to less than 57 percent, thus receiving a well-deserved punishment for their political games and excesses."
"Should the five parties, some of them new kids on the block, find a way to build a common platform of policies against the DISY and AKEL, it could mean that President Anastasiades' aspirations for a second five-year term in February 2018 could prove to be just a pipe-dream"
In their follow-up analysis, titled "Post-Election Analysis of the Greek Cypriot Parliamentary Elections of 22 May 2016," Stavri and Jakovlevic explain that the election saw a substantial increase in absentee voting with 33.51 percent, and a record number of eight political parties coming into play. The authors point out the the political map has been reshuffled entirely, with the two biggest parties – DISY and AKEL – declining by 3.7 and 7.1 percent respectively. The election results will have long-term consequences for internal Greek Cypriot politics, as well as for the future of the Cyprus negotiations, posit the authors.
"22 May 2016 was expected to deliver surprises for a host of reasons, but what came about was the total redrafting of the political map in the Greek Cypriot community with all resultant repercussions promising to reverberate for some time to come"
"The recent parliamentary elections in Cyprus effectively ended the long grace period President Anastasiades had been enjoying." |