New blog post by Aykan Erdemir and Merve Tahiroglu: Can Terror-Stricken Turkey be the EU's Security Bulwark?
The EU's view of Turkey as a security bulwark is optimistic despite the current instabilities the country is facing – frequent terrorist attacks, the proximity of ISIL in Syria, state-PKK clashes in the southeast. In their blog post, Aykan Erdemir and Merve Tahiroglu, senior fellow and research analyst respectively with the Foundation for Defense of Democracies (FDD), question Turkey's ability to play the role of "Europe's barricade" against threats from its external borders. The authors point to a serious security deficit, which is compounded by the fact that the ruling party is using Turkey's security apparatus to suppress dissidents as much as is it to fight terrorism. Additionally, while the Turkey-EU refugee deal may stem the flow of refugees from the Middle East in the short-term, the authors contend that by turning a blind eye to Turkey's domestic instability, the EU is setting the stage for a Turkish refugee influx in the medium to long term.
"Europe's vision of Turkey as a security bulwark against threats from the Middle East rests on the presumption that EU candidate Turkey will remain stable itself. In reality, Turkey has an acute terrorism problem, which, if ignored, could have dire consequences for Europe."
"With depressingly regular terrorist attacks in major cities and its ongoing war with the PKK, Turkey increasingly resembles its Middle Eastern neighbors – those failing states whose refugees Europe expects Ankara to protect it from."
|